SPL Round 6

Motherwell vs Kilmarnock analysis

Motherwell Kilmarnock
83 ELO 75
19.8% Tilt 10.4%
633º General ELO ranking 529º
12º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
72.4%
Motherwell
15.1%
Draw
12.5%
Kilmarnock

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
Motherwell
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
12.5%
Win probability
Kilmarnock
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Motherwell
+2%
-4%
Kilmarnock

ELO progression

Motherwell
Kilmarnock
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Motherwell
Motherwell
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jan. 1932
FAL
Falkirk
2 - 3
Motherwell
MHE
38%
22%
40%
83 71 12 0
01 Jan. 1932
MHE
Motherwell
3 - 1
Hamilton Academical
HAM
76%
14%
10%
83 71 12 0
26 Dec. 1931
GLA
Rangers
1 - 0
Motherwell
MHE
56%
21%
24%
83 83 0 0
19 Dec. 1931
MHE
Motherwell
4 - 1
Queen's Park
QUE
72%
15%
13%
83 73 10 0
12 Dec. 1931
TLA
Third Lanark
0 - 2
Motherwell
MHE
42%
21%
37%
83 72 11 0

Matches

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jan. 1932
KIL
Kilmarnock
5 - 1
Ayr United
AYR
73%
14%
13%
75 66 9 0
01 Jan. 1932
STM
St. Mirren
2 - 0
Kilmarnock
KIL
55%
20%
25%
76 76 0 -1
26 Dec. 1931
KIL
Kilmarnock
2 - 1
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
42%
22%
36%
75 83 8 +1
19 Dec. 1931
AIR
Airdrieonians
0 - 2
Kilmarnock
KIL
57%
19%
24%
74 72 2 +1
12 Dec. 1931
KIL
Kilmarnock
8 - 0
Dundee United
DUN
73%
15%
12%
74 58 16 0