Motherwell vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
33.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
MHE
1 - 2
STJ
60%
21%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2007 |
STM
0 - 0
MHE
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
MHE
1 - 0
ICT
51%
24%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
FAL
1 - 2
MHE
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
MHE
2 - 0
GRE
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
HOM
1 - 1
STM
67%
22%
12%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
HOM
1 - 0
ICT
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
DUN
1 - 0
HOM
24%
27%
50%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
GLA
0 - 0
HOM
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
HOM
1 - 0
FAL
63%
22%
15%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |