Motala vs Herrestads AIF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
20.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
5º
4º
28
2º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 53 |
1º
|
72.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
28 | 48 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 46 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 46 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 45 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 39 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 35 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 33 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 32 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 30 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 30 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
12º
|
40% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 21 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 15 |
14º
|
88.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
4% | 10% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
20.5% | 29.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
75.5% | 60.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
KON
1 - 3
MOT
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
MOT
4 - 3
FBK
41%
23%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
GRE
2 - 1
MOT
31%
24%
45%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
MOT
5 - 2
IFH
86%
9%
5%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
SFC
1 - 2
MOT
7%
13%
80%
|
46 | 9 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Herrestads AIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
KUM
0 - 3
HER
42%
24%
34%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
HER
0 - 4
KON
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
AIF
2 - 0
HER
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FBK
2 - 3
HER
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
HER
3 - 3
VAN
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |