Móstoles vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
7.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1989 |
SFN
1 - 2
MST
26%
27%
47%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1989 |
MST
5 - 1
RVB
69%
20%
12%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1989 |
FUE
0 - 0
MST
42%
26%
32%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1989 |
MST
0 - 4
CAR
72%
19%
9%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
CDC
0 - 1
MST
17%
25%
59%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1989 |
ARA
1 - 1
RMC
27%
27%
46%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1989 |
CDV
1 - 0
ARA
57%
23%
20%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1989 |
ARA
1 - 1
MEX
45%
25%
30%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1989 |
VAL
1 - 1
ARA
62%
22%
16%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
ARA
3 - 2
TRJ
38%
27%
36%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |