CDE Madrid 2021 vs El Álamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
39.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDE Madrid 2021
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 2
CDE
33%
24%
43%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 1
CDE
22%
24%
54%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CDE
0 - 0
VLO
63%
20%
17%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 2
CDE
39%
24%
36%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CDE
2 - 0
ARG
78%
15%
8%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
El Álamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 0
PNT
85%
11%
4%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 1
ALA
24%
22%
54%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ALA
2 - 0
VIL
70%
17%
13%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
VLO
0 - 3
ALA
27%
24%
50%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ALA
2 - 0
CAR
52%
22%
26%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |