Mosta vs San Gwann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.3%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mosta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 0
MOS
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MOS
2 - 0
FLO
44%
26%
29%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
MOS
1 - 1
SWI
80%
13%
7%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SIR
1 - 2
MOS
27%
24%
49%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MOS
4 - 0
PIE
77%
15%
8%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
San Gwann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SAI
1 - 1
SAN
44%
24%
33%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
PIE
0 - 2
SAN
53%
21%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 1
QRE
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ATT
1 - 1
SAN
31%
23%
46%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 1
VIT
77%
15%
8%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | -1 |