Mossley vs Trafford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
41.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mossley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
BRI
4 - 0
MOS
60%
20%
20%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
MOS
0 - 1
COL
23%
23%
53%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
MOS
1 - 0
PIC
78%
14%
8%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
MOS
1 - 1
PRE
31%
23%
46%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CIT
1 - 0
MOS
34%
21%
45%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Trafford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2019 |
COL
1 - 2
TRA
67%
19%
14%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
TRA
8 - 1
PIC
76%
15%
9%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
BRI
2 - 1
TRA
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
TRA
1 - 0
OUF
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
DUN
3 - 4
TRA
63%
18%
18%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |