Mossley vs ST. James Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mossley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MOS
0 - 3
CHO
11%
19%
70%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CIT
2 - 2
MOS
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
WHI
3 - 3
MOS
57%
22%
22%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MOS
2 - 2
WHI
19%
22%
59%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
ECC
1 - 3
MOS
20%
21%
59%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
ST. James Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CRE
2 - 2
STJ
70%
17%
13%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
DER
2 - 0
STJ
82%
11%
6%
|
14 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
HAR
0 - 3
STJ
82%
11%
6%
|
12 | 49 | 37 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
GLE
4 - 1
STJ
87%
9%
4%
|
12 | 61 | 49 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
STJ
0 - 4
BRF
7%
13%
80%
|
14 | 50 | 36 | -2 |