Mossley vs Northwich Victoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
48.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mossley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
MOS
2 - 0
LAN
34%
24%
41%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
GLO
5 - 1
MOS
77%
15%
8%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
MOS
5 - 3
HAR
81%
13%
6%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FAR
1 - 2
MOS
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
SPE
4 - 1
MOS
73%
16%
11%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Northwich Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
NOR
5 - 2
PRE
82%
13%
6%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
NOR
1 - 2
TRA
61%
22%
18%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
BUR
1 - 1
NOR
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
BAM
1 - 0
NOR
25%
23%
52%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
TRA
2 - 2
NOR
21%
23%
56%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -1 |