Mossley vs Gateshead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
39.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mossley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2007 |
MOS
1 - 0
LEE
38%
26%
36%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
MOS
1 - 3
MAR
26%
26%
48%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
MOS
1 - 2
NOR
40%
26%
35%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
MOS
0 - 0
PRE
31%
26%
43%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
LEE
1 - 2
MOS
46%
27%
28%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
BUR
2 - 0
GAT
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
GAT
2 - 1
OSS
46%
25%
29%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
ILK
4 - 2
GAT
44%
27%
29%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
FLE
1 - 0
GAT
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
GAT
2 - 3
PRE
56%
23%
22%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |