Moss vs Hønefoss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
36.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2003 |
HAM
1 - 1
MOS
60%
22%
19%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
MOS
2 - 1
IKS
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
ORN
2 - 1
MOS
31%
25%
44%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
MOS
2 - 1
HOD
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2003 |
MOS
2 - 0
OSO
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
FFK
2 - 1
HON
54%
22%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
HON
0 - 2
HAM
48%
24%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
IKS
2 - 1
HON
32%
24%
43%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
HON
6 - 1
ORN
82%
13%
5%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
HOD
2 - 1
HON
32%
24%
43%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |