Mosor vs HNK Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
45.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mosor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
MOS
4 - 0
MEI
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
HAS
0 - 0
MOS
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
MOS
2 - 0
NKC
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
POM
0 - 1
MOS
73%
17%
10%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
MOS
3 - 0
HDR
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
HNK Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
HNG
2 - 0
HAS
71%
19%
10%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
NKC
0 - 3
HNG
26%
27%
47%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
HNG
2 - 0
POM
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
HDR
2 - 1
HNG
30%
28%
42%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
HNG
3 - 2
NKD
64%
23%
14%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |