U.D. Mos vs Gran Peña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U.D. Mos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 3
MOS
74%
17%
10%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
MOS
3 - 1
UDE
22%
23%
55%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CAN
2 - 0
MOS
53%
23%
24%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
MOS
0 - 1
UMI
45%
24%
31%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
MOS
2 - 1
DOM
50%
23%
27%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
GRA
2 - 2
POR
24%
23%
54%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
UMI
0 - 1
GRA
56%
21%
23%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 0
PON
48%
24%
28%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
GRA
2 - 3
GUA
25%
24%
51%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
UDE
1 - 0
GRA
57%
22%
21%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |