Mortágua vs Tourizense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
54.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
POM
1 - 1
MOR
79%
14%
7%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CAM
0 - 2
MOR
48%
23%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 3
ADN
21%
23%
55%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
VIT
0 - 0
MOR
74%
16%
10%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 1
PAM
17%
21%
62%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Tourizense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
TOU
1 - 2
SOU
32%
27%
42%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
POM
0 - 1
TOU
54%
24%
23%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
TOU
2 - 0
OLI
37%
25%
38%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
5 - 3
TOU
51%
24%
25%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
ADN
2 - 1
TOU
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |