Moron vs Nervión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
SUE
2 - 4
UDM
14%
21%
65%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
UDM
0 - 0
CAB
54%
24%
22%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
VIS
2 - 1
UDM
21%
23%
55%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
UDM
1 - 0
CAS
43%
25%
32%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
LEB
2 - 1
UDM
24%
23%
53%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Nervión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
NER
0 - 2
CAN
77%
15%
8%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
EST
2 - 1
NER
64%
19%
16%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
NER
1 - 2
UTR
27%
24%
49%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
MAI
2 - 1
NER
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
NER
3 - 0
JDB
43%
25%
33%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |