Moron vs Ayamonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
16.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1957 |
COR
1 - 1
UDM
70%
17%
14%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
UDM
2 - 1
OVA
71%
16%
14%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
POR
5 - 1
UDM
70%
17%
14%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1957 |
UDM
2 - 1
REC
57%
20%
23%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
UDM
5 - 2
GAD
76%
14%
10%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ayamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1957 |
AYA
3 - 2
ARC
66%
18%
17%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
BAL
2 - 2
AYA
84%
10%
6%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
AYA
3 - 2
UTR
66%
17%
17%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1957 |
LCF
2 - 0
AYA
58%
20%
22%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
AYA
4 - 2
JER
70%
16%
14%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |