Swallows FC vs Maritzburg United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swallows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
SWA
0 - 1
BID
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2008 |
THA
4 - 2
SWA
32%
27%
40%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
SWA
1 - 1
SSU
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
SUN
0 - 1
SWA
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2008 |
AMA
1 - 2
SWA
30%
28%
43%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Maritzburg United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 2
THA
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2008 |
SUN
3 - 0
MAR
71%
19%
10%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
FRE
1 - 1
MAR
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 1
POL
48%
26%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 0
MAR
65%
22%
14%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |