Swallows FC vs Engen Santos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swallows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
SWA
2 - 2
MAR
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
PLS
0 - 0
SWA
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
SWA
4 - 1
BLA
66%
21%
14%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
GOL
2 - 0
SWA
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2011 |
SWA
0 - 0
BLO
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Engen Santos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
COS
2 - 2
SAN
34%
29%
37%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 2
AMA
42%
27%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
FRE
2 - 0
SAN
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 5
SUN
27%
29%
44%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
BID
3 - 0
SAN
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |