Swallows FC vs Black Leopards analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
10%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swallows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
SWA
31%
26%
44%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
FRE
0 - 1
SWA
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SWA
2 - 0
SUN
51%
25%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
AMA
2 - 1
SWA
25%
27%
48%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SWA
2 - 1
SSU
44%
24%
32%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Black Leopards
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
BLA
3 - 0
DJO
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BLA
0 - 2
PIR
37%
25%
38%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
BLA
3 - 3
SSU
29%
27%
44%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
WYD
3 - 1
BLA
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
GOL
0 - 0
BLA
57%
23%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |