Mornar vs FK Rudar Pljevlja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
28.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
6º
10º
8º
38
4º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DEC
3 - 1
MOR
58%
23%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BUD
2 - 0
MOR
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 0
IKD
42%
28%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 0
PET
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 0
PET
41%
28%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
FK Rudar Pljevlja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
RUD
2 - 1
JEZ
32%
29%
39%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
RUD
0 - 3
JED
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
FKA
0 - 2
RUD
49%
26%
26%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
ZET
1 - 3
RUD
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
RUD
0 - 0
SUT
20%
27%
54%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |