Mornar vs Arsenal Tivat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
38.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
KOM
1 - 0
MOR
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
MOR
1 - 0
GRB
29%
27%
44%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
OUL
4 - 3
MOR
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2020 |
MOR
2 - 0
IBA
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2020 |
JED
6 - 4
MOR
52%
26%
22%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal Tivat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
FKA
1 - 0
FKD
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
IBA
0 - 2
FKA
44%
27%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +2 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
IBA
2 - 1
FKA
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2020 |
FKA
2 - 1
JED
38%
28%
34%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2020 |
JEZ
0 - 1
FKA
48%
28%
25%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |