Mormont vs Lorraine Arlon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
12.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mormont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 3
AIS
65%
19%
16%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
VER
2 - 3
MOR
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 0
HER
48%
21%
31%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
LON
0 - 2
MOR
51%
21%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 1
EBE
47%
22%
31%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lorraine Arlon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
LOR
0 - 4
VER
31%
22%
47%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
HER
1 - 0
LOR
61%
20%
20%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
LOR
0 - 3
LON
47%
22%
31%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
WAR
2 - 0
LOR
65%
18%
17%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
LOR
0 - 4
RES
34%
22%
44%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -2 |