Mormont vs Givry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
38.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mormont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
FAY
6 - 1
MOR
77%
14%
10%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 5
CHA
40%
25%
35%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
OLY
2 - 0
MOR
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 3
TIL
13%
23%
63%
|
34 | 69 | 35 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
LIE
0 - 0
MOR
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Givry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 1
GIV
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
GIV
1 - 2
TIL
12%
23%
64%
|
37 | 69 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
MEU
3 - 2
GIV
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
GIV
1 - 2
HAM
43%
25%
33%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
LOR
1 - 2
GIV
37%
24%
40%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |