Mori Santo Stefano vs Adriese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.2%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
77.1%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
14º
18º
18º
50
5º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
15 | 15 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mori Santo Stefano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
CAM
2 - 1
MSS
83%
12%
5%
|
14 | 44 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
MON
0 - 0
MSS
71%
17%
13%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
FON
5 - 1
MSS
78%
14%
8%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MSS
4 - 0
ACM
45%
23%
33%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
TRI
2 - 1
MSS
86%
10%
4%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Adriese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
SDA
0 - 1
ADB
60%
21%
19%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CAM
2 - 0
SDA
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
SDA
0 - 1
CAM
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
CAM
2 - 2
SDA
28%
26%
46%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SDA
3 - 2
MES
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |