Morella vs Rafalafena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
48.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 0
MOR
71%
17%
13%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 3
PEN
36%
24%
40%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
TRA
4 - 2
MOR
62%
21%
18%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
BEN
5 - 1
MOR
55%
23%
22%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 0
ALM
48%
24%
28%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Rafalafena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
RAF
0 - 0
ORP
31%
23%
47%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
TRR
2 - 0
RAF
37%
24%
39%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
RAF
4 - 1
CHE
68%
17%
15%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
RAF
0 - 3
ODI
41%
22%
37%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CDB
4 - 2
RAF
30%
23%
47%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |