Morell vs Ascó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
50%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-85%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
GUI
3 - 1
MOR
46%
25%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
MOR
0 - 0
SMR
13%
20%
67%
|
15 | 43 | 28 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
MON
0 - 3
MOR
62%
21%
17%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
MOR
2 - 2
FCM
52%
24%
25%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
MON
4 - 3
MOR
71%
18%
11%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ascó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
FCA
4 - 2
TOR
54%
23%
24%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
SCR
1 - 3
FCA
30%
25%
45%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
FCA
6 - 1
PSE
65%
20%
15%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 2
FCA
11%
20%
69%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
FCA
0 - 0
CAS
18%
23%
60%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |