CA Morelia vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
JAG
1 - 2
MOR
41%
27%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
MOR
3 - 1
CHI
54%
24%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
PUE
2 - 1
MOR
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
MOR
2 - 0
PAC
41%
25%
34%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ATL
2 - 1
MOR
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
PUM
3 - 2
AME
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 1
PUM
60%
23%
18%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
PUM
2 - 1
MON
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
COM
2 - 1
PUM
26%
26%
48%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
SNL
1 - 0
PUM
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |