Liga MX Apertura . Jor. 18

CA Morelia vs Puebla analysis

CA Morelia Puebla
78 ELO 71
15.6% Tilt 4.4%
1488º General ELO ranking 984º
24º Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
63.5%
CA Morelia
20.7%
Draw
15.8%
Puebla

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
CA Morelia
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.8%
Win probability
Puebla
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CA Morelia
-20%
-28%
Puebla

ELO progression

CA Morelia
Puebla
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CA Morelia
CA Morelia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Nov. 2019
LEO
León
1 - 1
CA Morelia
MOR
65%
20%
16%
77 83 6 0
01 Nov. 2019
MOR
CA Morelia
6 - 1
FC Juárez
JUA
67%
20%
13%
76 69 7 +1
26 Oct. 2019
MOR
CA Morelia
2 - 2
Santos Laguna
SAN
33%
25%
42%
76 81 5 0
20 Oct. 2019
CAZ
Cruz Azul
2 - 3
CA Morelia
MOR
56%
24%
20%
76 83 7 0
05 Oct. 2019
MOR
CA Morelia
2 - 3
Necaxa
NEC
45%
25%
30%
77 78 1 -1

Matches

Puebla
Puebla
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Nov. 2019
PUE
Puebla
0 - 0
Cimarrones de Sonora
CIM
59%
23%
18%
71 65 6 0
02 Nov. 2019
PUE
Puebla
1 - 1
Pumas UNAM
PUM
38%
27%
36%
71 76 5 0
30 Oct. 2019
VER
Veracruz
1 - 0
Puebla
PUE
23%
27%
50%
71 59 12 0
27 Oct. 2019
AME
América
2 - 0
Puebla
PUE
74%
17%
9%
72 84 12 -1
24 Oct. 2019
CIM
Cimarrones de Sonora
1 - 1
Puebla
PUE
33%
26%
41%
72 67 5 0
X