CA Morelia vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
CHI
1 - 2
MOR
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
MOR
1 - 0
SAN
49%
24%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
DOR
2 - 1
MOR
33%
27%
40%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
MOR
0 - 2
TIG
45%
24%
31%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2005 |
ATL
4 - 3
MOR
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
NEC
2 - 1
PAC
44%
26%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
MON
1 - 1
NEC
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
NEC
3 - 1
CAZ
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
VER
2 - 3
NEC
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2005 |
NEC
2 - 1
SNL
60%
23%
18%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |