CA Morelia vs Atlas FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
21.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
AME
1 - 0
MOR
47%
26%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
MOR
1 - 0
MON
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
EST
1 - 0
MOR
30%
26%
44%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
MOR
2 - 0
VER
73%
17%
10%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
CAZ
0 - 2
MOR
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atlas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
ATS
3 - 1
PAC
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
JAG
1 - 1
ATS
29%
26%
45%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
ATS
2 - 1
ATL
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
SAN
3 - 2
ATS
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
ATS
4 - 1
SNL
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |