National Premier Victoria. Jor. 11

Moreland City vs Altona Magic analysis

Moreland City Altona Magic
11 ELO 28
-1.4% Tilt 1.1%
14326º General ELO ranking 9492º
116º Country ELO ranking 78º
ELO win probability
12%
Moreland City
16.4%
Draw
71.6%
Altona Magic

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
Moreland City
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
71.6%
Win probability
Altona Magic
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Moreland City
+20%
+29%
Altona Magic

ELO progression

Moreland City
Altona Magic
Heidelberg Utd
Port Melbourne Sharks
South Melbourne
Dandenong City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Moreland City
Moreland City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Apr. 2024
HEU
Heidelberg Utd
3 - 2
Moreland City
MCF
84%
11%
5%
11 38 27 0
13 Apr. 2024
MCF
Moreland City
1 - 4
Manningham United
MNG
19%
19%
62%
12 20 8 -1
06 Apr. 2024
HUM
Hume City FC
3 - 2
Moreland City
MCF
80%
13%
7%
12 32 20 0
23 Mar. 2024
MCF
Moreland City
1 - 2
Dandenong City
DAC
15%
18%
66%
12 24 12 0
16 Mar. 2024
MCF
Moreland City
0 - 1
FC Melbourne Knights
MEL
11%
16%
72%
12 36 24 0

Matches

Altona Magic
Altona Magic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 2024
ALM
Altona Magic
1 - 0
FC Melbourne Knights
MEL
24%
23%
54%
25 36 11 0
13 Apr. 2024
ALM
Altona Magic
1 - 0
St Albans Saints
STA
64%
19%
17%
24 19 5 +1
06 Apr. 2024
AVH
Avondale Heights
4 - 0
Altona Magic
ALM
82%
13%
6%
24 44 20 0
23 Mar. 2024
POR
Port Melbourne Sharks
1 - 1
Altona Magic
ALM
69%
18%
13%
24 36 12 0
16 Mar. 2024
ALM
Altona Magic
1 - 4
South Melbourne
SOU
14%
19%
67%
25 43 18 -1
X