Moreirense vs Tondela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
GFC
1 - 2
MOR
54%
25%
20%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 1
VIT
32%
28%
40%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
MOR
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 2
SCP
11%
18%
70%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 1
MAR
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
TON
1 - 3
SCP
12%
18%
70%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 3
TON
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
TON
2 - 2
ARO
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
FCP
4 - 0
TON
79%
14%
7%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2022 |
TON
1 - 1
BEL
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |