Moreirense vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
19.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
MOR
0 - 1
MAI
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
FEI
2 - 1
MOR
37%
28%
36%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
MOR
2 - 1
SAN
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
OVA
1 - 1
MOR
32%
27%
42%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
MOR
2 - 2
BMA
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
SPC
1 - 2
VIL
84%
11%
5%
|
57 | 20 | 37 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
CHA
0 - 0
SPC
40%
28%
33%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
SPC
2 - 1
POR
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
AVE
2 - 1
SPC
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
SPC
2 - 2
FCB
54%
25%
20%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |