Moreirense vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
40.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2016 |
FEI
1 - 2
MOR
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SLB
3 - 0
MOR
83%
12%
5%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 2
VST
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
TON
1 - 2
MOR
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 0
EST
26%
25%
48%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 1
EST
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 0
NAC
8%
16%
76%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 1
NAC
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 0
SCP
19%
22%
59%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +3 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
PAÇ
4 - 0
NAC
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |