Moreirense vs Mafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
14.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
FAM
3 - 3
MOR
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 1
VIT
27%
26%
47%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
RIO
1 - 1
MOR
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 1
BOA
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
FAB
1 - 3
MOR
4%
12%
84%
|
71 | 24 | 47 | 0 |
Matches
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
MAF
2 - 2
SPC
34%
28%
38%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
MAF
3 - 1
POR
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
FAR
2 - 1
MAF
60%
23%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
FEI
1 - 2
MAF
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
MAF
1 - 0
FAF
64%
22%
15%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |