Moreirense vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
FCP
5 - 0
MOR
78%
15%
7%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 2
FAM
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
BEL
1 - 1
MOR
33%
28%
39%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 3
SPB
17%
23%
60%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 2
MOR
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ARO
2 - 2
VIT
31%
29%
41%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 2
ARO
36%
29%
36%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
FCP
3 - 0
ARO
78%
15%
7%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
ARO
2 - 1
FAM
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SLB
2 - 0
ARO
77%
15%
8%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |