Morecambe vs Walsall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
49.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
MOR
4 - 1
NOT
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
OPA
3 - 3
MOR
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 1
WYC
28%
27%
45%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 0
STA
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 1
SHE
23%
25%
52%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BPO
0 - 4
WAL
23%
27%
50%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
WAL
2 - 1
BHA
36%
28%
37%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
WAL
2 - 1
COV
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
ROC
1 - 2
WAL
49%
26%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 2
WAL
41%
29%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |