Morecambe vs Shrewsbury Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
36%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2009 |
MOR
0 - 0
BRA
41%
26%
34%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
DAG
1 - 1
MOR
65%
20%
15%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
MOR
2 - 1
NOT
50%
25%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
ROT
0 - 0
MOR
60%
22%
17%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
MOR
3 - 3
ROC
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Shrewsbury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2009 |
CHE
1 - 2
STF
35%
27%
39%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
STF
3 - 0
NOR
52%
26%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
LIN
0 - 2
STF
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
STF
2 - 0
CRE
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
STF
1 - 2
BRA
48%
26%
27%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |