Morecambe vs Shrewsbury Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
26.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 1
MOR
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
MOR
1 - 0
AFC
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
DAG
1 - 3
MOR
42%
25%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
MOR
4 - 0
FOR
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
STE
0 - 1
MOR
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Shrewsbury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2004 |
STF
1 - 1
EBB
52%
24%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
STF
3 - 1
STE
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2004 |
STF
0 - 0
CHE
35%
27%
38%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
FAR
1 - 3
STF
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2004 |
AFC
1 - 0
STF
38%
26%
35%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |