Mordovia Saransk vs Spartak Nalchik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
23.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mordovia Saransk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
LOK
2 - 1
MOR
67%
20%
12%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 1
TER
29%
25%
47%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
FCR
2 - 1
MOR
62%
23%
14%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 1
SPA
23%
23%
53%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
DIN
3 - 1
MOR
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Nalchik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2013 |
NAL
2 - 5
KRS
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
KRS
2 - 0
NAL
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
UFA
1 - 0
NAL
26%
31%
43%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
NAL
2 - 0
BAL
61%
22%
16%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2013 |
KHI
2 - 1
NAL
26%
31%
44%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | -1 |