Mordovia Saransk vs Lada Tolyatti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
7.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mordovia Saransk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
FCC
1 - 1
MOR
25%
26%
49%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
NEF
1 - 1
MOR
20%
24%
55%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
URA
0 - 1
MOR
16%
21%
63%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
MOR
0 - 1
SYZ
72%
19%
10%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | -2 |
| 28 Jun. 2017 |
SOK
2 - 2
MOR
26%
23%
51%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lada Tolyatti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
LAD
1 - 0
URA
43%
22%
35%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
ORE
0 - 1
LAD
30%
22%
48%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
SYZ
4 - 2
LAD
68%
20%
12%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
LAD
1 - 3
SOK
18%
24%
58%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
AKT
0 - 3
LAD
36%
24%
40%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |