Moratalaz vs Colmenar Viejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
23.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moratalaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 1
SFN
64%
19%
17%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ROB
2 - 2
MOR
33%
22%
46%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 0
ROB
48%
24%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
EFC
2 - 3
MOR
18%
20%
63%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MOR
5 - 0
UNI
71%
16%
13%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Colmenar Viejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
COL
2 - 1
ROB
41%
22%
37%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ROB
0 - 1
COL
53%
22%
25%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
COL
4 - 0
EFC
66%
19%
15%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 2
COL
30%
21%
49%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
COL
2 - 1
ARA
23%
22%
55%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |