Moratalaz vs Aravaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
23.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moratalaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
COL
3 - 1
MOR
34%
23%
43%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 2
RCA
60%
20%
20%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SIE
1 - 2
MOR
57%
21%
22%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 1
MOR
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
EFC
1 - 2
MOR
37%
24%
40%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 2
ELE
62%
19%
19%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 0
ARA
53%
23%
24%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ARA
3 - 1
PER
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ROB
0 - 0
ARA
31%
24%
45%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 3
UZN
42%
23%
35%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |