Moraña vs Amanecer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
60.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-77%
+299%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moraña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
MOR
4 - 1
BAM
43%
23%
34%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
COB
5 - 1
MOR
63%
20%
18%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 3
FIG
16%
19%
65%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ZAC
5 - 0
MOR
64%
19%
17%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 5
UMI
17%
20%
63%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
AMA
0 - 1
CUN
79%
14%
8%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
BAM
0 - 2
AMA
16%
20%
65%
|
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
AMA
4 - 1
CAT
81%
12%
7%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
COB
2 - 1
AMA
19%
21%
60%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
AMA
2 - 1
ADR
68%
18%
14%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |