Moralo vs Malpartida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.5%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
7.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.2%
4-0
12.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.3%
3-0
16%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.6%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
7.4%
2%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1993 |
UCL
0 - 4
MOR
11%
24%
66%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1993 |
MOR
9 - 0
MON
86%
10%
4%
|
36 | 13 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1993 |
MIA
1 - 0
MOR
11%
24%
65%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1993 |
CDZ
0 - 1
MOR
8%
22%
70%
|
37 | 13 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1993 |
MOR
5 - 0
MAL
89%
9%
3%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Malpartida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1993 |
MAL
1 - 3
MCB
31%
27%
42%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1993 |
UCL
3 - 1
MAL
58%
23%
19%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1993 |
MAL
0 - 1
CDS
21%
27%
52%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1993 |
MAL
2 - 2
CDS
19%
27%
54%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1993 |
MOR
5 - 0
MAL
89%
9%
3%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | 0 |