Moralo vs Alburquerque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
DIO
0 - 3
MOR
30%
24%
46%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
MOR
6 - 0
MON
65%
22%
14%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
TAL
3 - 1
MOR
40%
24%
37%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
MOR
4 - 2
ADC
70%
19%
11%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 3
MOR
9%
20%
72%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Alburquerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
CPA
2 - 1
TRU
81%
13%
6%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
AMA
0 - 3
CPA
23%
25%
52%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CPA
1 - 0
ARR
45%
24%
32%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ADV
0 - 3
CPA
23%
23%
55%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
CPA
0 - 1
MAL
41%
25%
33%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |