Mooroolbark FC vs St. George FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mooroolbark FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1977 |
MAR
1 - 0
MOO
62%
23%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1977 |
MOO
1 - 1
BRI
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1977 |
MOO
1 - 2
HEU
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1977 |
FOO
1 - 0
MOO
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 1977 |
MOO
0 - 2
WES
57%
24%
20%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
St. George FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1977 |
STG
1 - 1
SOU
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1977 |
HAS
2 - 2
STG
60%
22%
19%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1977 |
MAR
0 - 0
STG
52%
25%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1977 |
ADE
1 - 1
STG
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 1977 |
STG
2 - 0
FOO
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |