Montserrat vs Bermuda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
75.8%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montserrat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
HTI
3 - 2
MSR
82%
13%
5%
|
30 | 68 | 38 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
MSR
1 - 2
GUY
13%
18%
70%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
TTO
6 - 1
MSR
86%
11%
3%
|
31 | 67 | 36 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
GRD
1 - 2
MSR
76%
15%
10%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
MSR
4 - 0
VIR
81%
12%
7%
|
30 | 5 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Bermuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
GUY
2 - 1
BMU
36%
24%
40%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
BMU
0 - 0
HTI
18%
21%
62%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
HTI
4 - 1
BMU
66%
21%
14%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
BMU
8 - 1
BRB
71%
17%
11%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
BMU
1 - 1
CYM
77%
14%
9%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | -1 |