Montserrat vs Saint Lucia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
63.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montserrat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
MSR
2 - 1
DOM
9%
15%
76%
|
23 | 55 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
CYM
1 - 2
MSR
70%
16%
14%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
ABW
0 - 2
MSR
77%
14%
10%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2018 |
MSR
1 - 0
BLZ
8%
14%
79%
|
14 | 49 | 35 | +7 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MSR
1 - 2
SLV
7%
14%
79%
|
14 | 66 | 52 | 0 |
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SLV
3 - 0
LCA
83%
13%
4%
|
43 | 70 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
LCA
3 - 2
ABW
50%
22%
28%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CYM
0 - 0
LCA
27%
22%
51%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
LCA
1 - 2
HTI
9%
15%
76%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
ATG
0 - 3
LCA
61%
22%
17%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +2 |