GOAL FC vs Lorient II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
3º
1º
36
4º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
63% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
70.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 42 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
10º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
11º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
36 | 37 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
91.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
86.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
86.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
78% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
22% | 18.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 81.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOAL FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
NAN
2 - 2
MOA
15%
25%
60%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MOA
0 - 0
ANG
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ANG
1 - 2
MOA
22%
27%
52%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MOA
0 - 2
LES
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 1
MOA
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LOR
0 - 1
CHA
61%
24%
16%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SAU
0 - 3
LOR
37%
27%
37%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LOR
0 - 1
TRE
65%
22%
13%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BOU
1 - 4
LOR
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
LOR
3 - 0
AND
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |